Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1256.841733 1440.743669 1649.316050 1904.840360 2211.421403 2569.911947 3024.466801
2025-05-25 985.860354 1218.936455 1509.915285 1905.577383 2438.548108 3144.938738 4175.165648
2025-06-01 841.974835 1086.637042 1409.438277 1876.449736 2551.969504 3521.931714 5075.285107
2025-06-08 738.259033 986.819815 1330.116350 1853.531618 2658.850064 3900.706996 6068.631026
2025-06-15 677.500342 933.842004 1302.482234 1891.716757 2851.259205 4433.923884 7438.839223
2025-06-22 603.608547 851.690261 1219.699153 1830.012385 2869.766824 4681.127219 8370.540652
2025-06-29 545.818640 786.202220 1152.751510 1781.135212 2896.733346 4941.721051 9396.024382
2025-07-06 495.354358 726.343921 1087.103052 1723.855283 2896.641999 5148.092464 10367.611304
2025-07-13 475.570248 712.092081 1092.095704 1786.622871 3124.205136 5842.968450 12664.980892
2025-07-20 449.770693 685.419780 1073.191489 1803.394796 3265.283625 6390.899425 14819.938549
2025-07-27 433.962107 673.477230 1077.545939 1862.720355 3501.083154 7202.143677 18020.944695
2025-08-03 418.023799 659.695747 1076.901573 1911.786202 3723.668972 8040.517507 21714.927271
2025-08-10 406.174896 653.480207 1091.959080 2000.188151 4065.636255 9315.715319 27713.234450
2025-08-17 383.709573 626.861374 1067.261761 2005.227894 4221.718362 10169.630783 32918.923196
2025-08-24 359.340941 594.496001 1027.985800 1972.949293 4279.586948 10765.117737 37572.902850
2025-08-31 338.354889 566.604378 994.589961 1948.929553 4354.117635 11440.457108 43172.166607
2025-09-07 326.301899 554.261096 990.381399 1989.463391 4606.407065 12772.620723 53251.265666
2025-09-14 304.542744 521.879050 942.899105 1923.824091 4556.706650 13082.237522 58290.489021
2025-09-21 286.030632 494.447156 903.220418 1871.817405 4536.332285 13496.228627 64481.627585
2025-09-28 268.248125 467.260683 861.859499 1810.911351 4479.474336 13763.834518 70156.557415
2025-10-05 263.197350 464.666133 871.890538 1877.656259 4819.434581 15712.920052 90580.047533
2025-10-12 254.278781 453.704057 862.984000 1895.497425 5013.430364 17169.210532 110078.151174
2025-10-19 249.481230 450.693651 871.090915 1958.624053 5370.758319 19538.196026 143558.101986